Model Predictions
| Model | Bucknell Bison | Holy Cross Crusaders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.0% | 26.0% | -8.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.3% | 27.7% | -5.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders +2 (54-52). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Bucknell Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Muscala * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Bryan Cohen * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Joe Willman * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Cameron Ayers * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Hill * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bryson Johnson | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Steven Kaspar | 15 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brian Fitzpatrick | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ben Brackney | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Brown * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Justin Burrell * | 30 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Dave Dudzinski * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R.J. Evans * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Phil Beans * | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Mike Cavataio | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Eric Obeysekere | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Abt | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Stevens | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Dee Goens | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter