Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | -10.5 | ✓ (19.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.6% | 15.4% | -9.4 | ✓ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -30 (68-98). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 36 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Kenny Boynton * | 34 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 10-11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Erving Walker * | 30 | 9-12 | 5-6 | 8-8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 25 | - |
| Erik Murphy * | 22 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Patric Young * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Will Yeguete | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Scottie Wilbekin | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cody Larson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Casey Prather | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jacob Kurtz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Young * | 35 | 10-19 | 3-6 | 8-12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 17 | - |
| Marvell Waithe * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Mardracus Wade * | 29 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Julysses Nobles * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Devonta Abron * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Rickey Scott | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Hunter Mickelson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rashad Madden | 16 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Kikko Haydar | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Mitchell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter