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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 64.5% 35.5% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 61.7% 38.3% -2.6 (27.4 off)
Pythagorean 76.1% 23.9% -
Efficiency 83.1% 16.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.5% 5.5% -
Log Adjusted 94.6% 5.4% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -30 (68-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Beal * 36 6-8 2-4 7-8 9 3 2 2 6 21 23 -
K. Boynton * 34 6-14 3-8 10-11 5 2 0 0 1 25 17 -
E. Walker * 30 9-12 5-6 8-8 1 5 0 0 0 31 25 -
E. Murphy * 22 4-7 3-5 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 13 10 -
P. Young * 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 2 2 4 7 -
W. Yeguete 27 1-2 0-0 2-3 11 1 0 0 0 4 14 -
S. Wilbekin 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
C. Larson 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Prather 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Kurtz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Young * 35 10-19 3-6 8-12 4 1 2 0 2 31 17 -
M. Waithe * 29 2-6 0-1 1-2 7 3 0 2 0 5 11 -
M. Wade * 29 2-8 2-6 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 6 3 -
J. Nobles * 24 3-8 2-4 0-2 4 2 2 0 1 8 7 -
D. Abron * 19 2-5 0-0 7-9 1 1 1 0 0 11 9 -
R. Scott Jr. 18 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
H. Mickelson 16 1-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 2 0 2 2 -
R. Madden 16 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -3 -
K. Haydar 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Mitchell 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter