Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.5% | 80.5% | +7.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +10 (65-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Hood * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Dee Bost * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Wendell Lewis * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Brian Bryant * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Steele | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Deville Smith | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Player #46222 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Gabriel * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Frankie Sullivan * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Adrian Forbes * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Rob Chubb * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Josh Wallace * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Varez Ward | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Noel Johnson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Allen Payne | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Chris Denson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Willy Kouassi | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter