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2012-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 11.8% 88.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.4% 73.6% - โœ“
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.9% 62.1% - โœ“

Actual: VCU Rams +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Johnny Moran * 36 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 3 2 0 5 8 6 -
Deon Mitchell * 35 7-11 0-0 4-4 5 6 1 0 4 18 15 -
Seth Tuttle * 26 2-2 0-0 5-8 8 2 0 0 1 9 16 -
Marc Sonnen * 24 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 8 5 -
Jake Koch * 24 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 4 -1 -
Anthony James 28 4-8 2-3 0-1 4 0 2 0 3 10 5 -
Chip Rank 16 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
Matt Morrison 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Austin Pehl 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Juvonte Reddic * 37 5-11 0-0 5-6 11 2 3 2 3 15 19 -
Darius Theus * 35 3-9 0-2 3-3 2 6 4 0 1 9 11 -
Troy Daniels * 32 3-8 2-7 4-4 1 0 2 0 1 12 6 -
Bradford Burgess * 27 6-9 3-5 2-2 2 3 0 1 3 17 11 -
D.J. Haley * 8 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
Rob Brandenberg 26 5-7 3-5 0-1 2 2 1 2 1 13 12 -
Treveon Graham 19 1-4 0-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 4 6 -
Briante Weber 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 4 -

* = starter