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2012-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 79.0% 21.0% -
Bradley-Terry 75.6% 24.4% -
Margin 76.8% 23.2% -6.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 75.3% 24.7% -
Efficiency 61.2% 38.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% -
Log Adjusted 90.5% 9.5% -

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -9 (61-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Willhite * 36 4-9 0-1 5-6 9 2 1 1 3 13 14 -
A. Morgan * 36 2-8 1-5 12-12 3 2 1 0 2 17 13 -
G. Mangano * 35 6-13 1-5 3-3 15 0 1 1 1 16 19 -
J. Pritchard * 28 0-3 0-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
J. Kreisberg * 25 3-9 0-0 5-6 5 0 1 1 2 11 7 -
B. Sherrod 13 2-3 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 3 6 3 -
S. Martin 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Grace 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Townsend 7 2-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Duren 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
G. Kelley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brooks * 33 4-11 0-0 6-6 5 0 2 0 1 14 9 -
G. Maldunas * 33 8-18 0-0 7-12 11 1 0 1 2 23 16 -
D. Rufful * 24 0-2 0-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 3 1 0 -
J. Golden * 23 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 2 1 2 6 -
T. Melville * 15 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 8 2 -
R.J. Griffin 22 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
K. Crecco 17 4-6 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 8 3 -
J. Trotter 17 0-5 0-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
M. McKearney 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. LaBove 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter