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2012-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 40.7% 59.3% -
Bradley-Terry 21.9% 78.1% -
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.3 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 1.8% 98.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +27 (69-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. McGonagill * 37 5-13 0-1 1-1 3 3 1 0 1 11 4 -
M. Sullivan * 32 4-13 2-5 1-1 1 1 1 0 1 11 0 -
S. Albrecht * 30 3-8 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
T. Ponticelli * 26 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
D. Walker * 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 4 0 -
J. Schmidt 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 2 1 -
T. Lundevall 15 1-5 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -3 -
J. Harris 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
J. Biber 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Curry * 25 0-4 0-3 0-1 1 9 0 3 1 0 8 -
K. Wright * 24 6-8 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 1 3 12 12 -
L. Rivard * 23 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
K. Casey * 21 1-4 0-1 4-5 5 0 0 1 0 6 8 -
O. McNally * 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
C. Miller 20 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 9 8 -
C. Webster 18 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 5 2 -
S. Moundou-Missi 18 4-5 0-0 6-8 6 1 1 4 1 14 20 -
J. Travis 15 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 3 5 5 -
W. Saunders 14 3-5 0-0 3-3 1 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
K. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Georgatos 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter