Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.3% | 71.7% | +5.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +14 (69-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Taylor * | 39 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Josh Gasser * | 36 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mike Bruesewitz * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Evans * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jared Berggren * | 24 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Robert Wilson | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ben Brust | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 8-11 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 8-10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Austin Thornton * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Wood | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Ianni | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Sweeny | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter