Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | +11.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +18 (85-67). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Eberhard * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Heath Hoffman * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Jackson Carbajal * | 26 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Dylan Garrity * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Josh McCarver * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Konner Veteto | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| John Dickson | 19 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Julian Demalleville | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Estrada | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kendell Groom | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harthun * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Chehales Tapscott * | 28 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 31 | - |
| Charles Odum * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Lateef McMullan * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nate Lozeau * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Gary Winston | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Renado Parker | 19 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Michael Harvey | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Martin Whitmore | 12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Cataldo | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jerron Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joel King | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter