Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.6% | 25.4% | -5.9 | ✗ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +13 (94-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hanson | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Chris Eversley | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Amaurys Fermin | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Dylan Royer | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Matt Titchenal | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Will Donahue | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Will Taylor | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Maliik Love | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Greene | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Vinnie McGhee | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Stephan Hicks | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Stephen Maxwell | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Michael Lizarraga | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Aqeel Quinn | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| John Hayward-Mayhew | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Player #57797 | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Frankie Eteuati | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Allan Guei | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Allen Jiles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter