Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +13 (94-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hanson | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| C. Eversley | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| A. Fermin | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| D. Royer | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Johnson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| M. Titchenal | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| W. Donahue | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| K. Odister | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| W. Taylor | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| M. Love | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Greene | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 26 | - |
| V. McGhee | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 27 | - |
| S. Hicks | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| S. Maxwell | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 25 | - |
| M. Lizarraga | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| A. Quinn | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Hayward-Mayhew | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Player #57797 | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| F. Eteuati | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| A. Guei | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Jiles IV | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter