Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Miami Hurricanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.1% | 22.9% | -6.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Hurricanes -9 (64-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Marshall * | 38 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| John Henson * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 9-19 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Reggie Bullock * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 29 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Justin Watts | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Stilman White | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kadji * | 35 | 5-16 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| D. Scott * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| M. Grant * | 19 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| S. Larkin * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. McKinney-Jones | 29 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| R. Brown | 28 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Jones | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Akpejiori | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter