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2012-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte 49ers Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% -
Bradley-Terry 20.1% 79.9% -
Margin 8.7% 91.3% +12.9 (2.9 off)

Actual: Dayton Flyers +10 (75-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Henry * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 0 2 8 17 -
J. Barnett * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 5 10 -
J. Briscoe * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 11 13 -
C. Braswell * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 27 30 -
E. Victor Nickerson * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 4 6 -
T. Williams 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 4 6 11 -
K.J. Sherrill 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 4 9 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Johnson * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 2 2 22 32 -
P. Williams * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 8 0 0 0 7 19 -
M. Kavanaugh * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 9 13 -
K. Dillard * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 13 10 -
L. Fabrizius * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Parker 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 3 8 12 -
D. Oliver 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 14 23 -
A. Gavrilovic 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
R. Hill 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter