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2012-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Austin Peay Governors Spread Result
Elo 58.3% 41.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 57.0% 43.0% - โœ“
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 โœ— (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 54.5% 45.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% - โœ—

Actual: Austin Peay Governors -4 (48-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lamont Austin * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 8 13 -
Ty Proffitt * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 4 4 -
Drew Kelly * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 3 11 17 -
Angelo Warner * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 3 0 1 2 12 -
Deandre Mathieu * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 10 17 -
Marsell Holden 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 3 0 1 9 11 -
Milton Chavis 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
Jordan Percell 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Devon Atkinson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Player #57239 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Baker * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 2 1 17 27 -
H. Lawrence * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 1 5 0 4 -
J. Terry * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 5 13 -
A. Williams * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 0 5 -
J. Fraley * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 7 -
T. Edmondson 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 15 17 -
W. Triggs 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 0 6 -
J. Clyburn 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 5 6 -
M. Hasse 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter