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Purdue Boilermakers 67
@
Illinois Fighting Illini 62
2012-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% - ✓
Margin 51.8% 48.2% -0.4 ✓ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% - ✓
Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 70.1% 29.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 70.2% 29.8% - ✓

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -5 (62-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robbie Hummel * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 0 3 19 29 -
Lewis Jackson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 3 13 19 -
D.J. Byrd * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 13 18 -
Kelsey Barlow * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 3 4 -
Travis Carroll * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 9 -
Ryne Smith 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 3 5 -
Terone Johnson 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 0 12 20 -
Jacob Lawson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Paul * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 4 19 21 -
D.J. Richardson * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 0 3 -
M. Leonard * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 2 2 9 23 -
J. Bertrand * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 1 0 12 20 -
T. Abrams * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 22 22 -
S. Maniscalco 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 4 -
T. Griffey 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Henry 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Egwu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter