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2012-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 58.8% 41.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 64.1% 35.9% - โœ—
Margin 73.9% 26.1% -5.7 โœ— (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 66.1% 33.9% - โœ—
Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 83.5% 16.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 83.7% 16.3% - โœ—

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake Koch * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 3 3 3 6 19 -
Johnny Moran * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 6 10 -
Marc Sonnen * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 5 3 -
Seth Tuttle * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 1 1 16 25 -
Deon Mitchell * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 4 4 -
Anthony James 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 13 19 -
Chip Rank 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 10 16 -
Matt Morrison 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Colt Ryan * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 3 0 3 20 29 -
Denver Holmes * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 14 18 -
Troy Taylor * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 3 6 13 -
Kenny Harris * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 4 -
Ryan Sawvell * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 5 13 -
Ned Cox 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 1 2 5 11 -
Lewis Jones 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 10 14 -
Jordan Nelson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter