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2012-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Holy Cross Crusaders Lafayette Leopards Spread Result
Elo 44.1% 55.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% - โœ—
Margin 41.2% 58.8% +2.0 โœ— (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 52.6% 47.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% - โœ—

Actual: Lafayette Leopards -7 (63-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Brown * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 18 18 -
R.J. Evans * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 7 9 13 -
Justin Burrell * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 16 20 -
Dave Dudzinski * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 2 8 15 -
Phil Beans * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Eric Obeysekere 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 4 2 4 14 -
Mike Cavataio 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 5 11 -
Taylor Abt 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 6 11 -
Dee Goens 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
Jordan Stevens 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Willen * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 15 22 -
Jim Mower * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 9 14 -
Rob Delaney * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 11 17 -
Nick Petkovich * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 3 11 -
J.D. Pelham * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Tony Johnson 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 4 0 0 9 16 -
Levi Giese 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
Seth Hinrichs 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
Dan Trist 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Les Smith 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 1 0 2 -

* = starter