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2012-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 58.1% 41.9% -
Margin 45.6% 54.4% +1.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 88.9% 11.1% -
Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.6% 8.4% -
Log Adjusted 91.7% 8.3% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -7 (55-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hawley * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 12 17 -
J. Clarke * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 16 4 3 0 2 6 27 -
R. Rice * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 15 19 -
J. Jeffers * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 6 9 -
K. Madison * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
K. Alexander 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 15 21 -
J. Welfringer 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
K. Woods 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 8 -
D. Smith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Eastman * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 3 0 3 6 17 -
D. Simms-Edwards * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 5 8 -
J. Prosser * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 0 10 20 -
J. Crawford * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 0 1 4 9 -
T. Brown * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 0 4 -
W. Lemon Jr. 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 22 25 -
S. Shayok 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 7 -
C. Woods 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 9 -
A. Thompson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 7 -

* = starter