Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -10 (67-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Williams * | 38 | 7-10 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Drew Gordon * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 22 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Phillip McDonald | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chad Adams | 7 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Thames * | 40 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 38 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 35 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| G. Green | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Stephens | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Franklin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter