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2012-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Towson Tigers Northeastern Huskies Spread Result
Elo 6.5% 93.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.1% 92.9% - โœ“
Margin 3.3% 96.7% +18.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 2.6% 97.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 16.5% 83.5% - โœ“

Actual: Northeastern Huskies +19 (70-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Damas * 37 4-11 2-5 5-5 3 5 1 1 4 15 10 -
Robert Nwankwo * 33 7-11 0-0 5-10 13 0 2 1 2 19 22 -
Kris Walden * 32 3-8 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 6 -1 -
Deon Jones * 25 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 4 5 3 -
Erique Gumbs * 20 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 0 -2 -
Jervon Pressley 23 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 4 2 -
Will Adams 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Alex Giergen 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Jamel Flash 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Player #60211 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Player #58744 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Player #60270 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northeastern Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joel Smith * 32 7-11 5-8 1-1 3 3 0 0 0 20 15 -
Reggie Spencer * 32 5-9 0-0 7-8 6 2 3 2 2 17 19 -
Jonathan Lee * 31 2-4 2-4 4-4 2 4 2 0 1 10 13 -
Quincy Ford * 26 3-10 2-4 4-4 3 3 5 0 4 12 9 -
Alwayne Bigby * 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 5 0 0 -
Kauri Black 18 0-1 0-0 0-2 4 1 3 1 2 0 6 -
Ryan Pierson 12 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
Kashief Edwards 11 1-3 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
Demetrius Pollard 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Marco Banegas-Flores 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Alex Bates 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Chris Avenant 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter