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2012-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Savannah State Tigers North Carolina A&T Aggies Spread Result
Elo 79.9% 20.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 69.5% 30.5% - โœ“
Margin 71.0% 29.0% -4.9 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 69.2% 30.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.1% 14.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.3% 14.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.7% 39.3% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina A&T Aggies -7 (59-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Savannah State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deric Rudolph * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 10 13 -
Cedric Smith * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 0 1 9 20 -
P. Blackman * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 0 14 24 -
Jyles Smith * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 2 9 -
Rashad Hassan * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 1 3 11 19 -
Joshua Montgomery 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 9 13 -
Keierre Richards 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
Arnold Louis 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 6 9 -
Stephen Wilson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
R. Conner 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Patrick Hendley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Christopher Spears 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina A&T Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Witter * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 9 15 -
Marc Hill * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 11 16 -
Jean Louisme * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 7 -
DaMetrius Upchurch * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 0 0 7 -
Waylan Siverand * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
Adrian Powell 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 8 9 -
R.J. Buck 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 9 -
Nic Simpson 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 7 9 -
Jeremy Underwood 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 11 12 -
Lawrence Smith 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 7 -

* = starter