Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Brown * | 36 | 0-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4 | - |
| Dyricus Simms-Edwards * | 36 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Jake Eastman * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Prosser * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Crawford * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Walt Lemon | 32 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| S. Shayok | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Thompson | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Charonn Woods | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Downing * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Keith Pickens * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Michael Bizoukas * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Weems * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Christian Kirk * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 29 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Caleb Patterson | 25 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jamar Gulley | 25 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tomie Aromona | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Corey Copeland | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Isaiah Rhine | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter