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2012-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Evansville Purple Aces Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% -
Bradley-Terry 24.9% 75.1% -
Margin 10.9% 89.1% +11.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.3% 67.7% -
Efficiency 28.1% 71.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Log Adjusted 33.9% 66.1% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +24 (78-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Holmes * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 16 18 -
C. Ryan * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 3 0 3 7 8 -
R. Sawvell * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 8 14 -
K. Harris * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 12 16 -
T. Taylor * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 2 0 4 4 10 -
N. Cox 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 2 7 -
L. Jones 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 3 7 -
J. Nelson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Moore 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Peeler 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Cesnulevicius 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hawley * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 2 10 18 -
J. Jeffers * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 12 14 -
R. Rice * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 3 6 13 18 -
J. Clarke * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 2 1 18 32 -
K. Madison * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 5 4 -
K. Alexander 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 3 16 23 -
J. Welfringer 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 2 8 -
K. Woods 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 3 2 7 -

* = starter