Model Predictions
| Model | Green Bay Phoenix | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | +7.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan Cougill * | 32 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Ken Cerroni * | 29 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Josh Humphrey * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Armstead * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Greg Mays * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Keifer Sykes | 32 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Steve Baker | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Alec Brown | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Terry Johnson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Simon * | 38 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Jason Calliste * | 36 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Ray McCallum * | 35 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| LaMarcus Lowe * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Doug Anderson * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eli Holman | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Donavan Foster | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Evan Bruinsma | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| P.J. Boutte | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter