Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +9 (70-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 38 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| B. Paul * | 37 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 12 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Leonard * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J. Bertrand * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Griffey | 29 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| N. Egwu | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Henry | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Burke * | 39 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| S. Douglass * | 36 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Z. Novak * | 32 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 30 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Smotrycz | 29 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 18 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. McLimans | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter