Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | +9.8 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +2 (96-94). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 44 | 4-18 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 38 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 37 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Nolan Smith * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jonny Flynn * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Craig Smith * | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enes Freedom * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Jeremy Evans * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 22 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Alec Burks * | 22 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Blake Ahearn * | 14 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -4 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 12 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Gordon Hayward * | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter