Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +7 (84-77). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Thomas * | 45 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 43 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Darryl Watkins * | 42 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Jerome Dyson * | 41 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 39 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 16 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jason Smith * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Budinger * | 42 | 10-18 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 10 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 32 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 30 | 4-16 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 27 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 21 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Courtney Fortson * | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter