Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rahon * | 37 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| X. Thames * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 32 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| G. Green | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Stephens | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Franklin | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Moser * | 36 | 9-20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Anthony Marshall * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Oscar Bellfield * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Chace Stanback * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Brice Massamba * | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Smith | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kendall Wallace | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter