Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.4% | 91.6% | +10.8 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +4 (93-89). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 42 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 41 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 38 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Nolan Smith * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jonny Flynn * | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Craig Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 33 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 30 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 27 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 19 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Josh Selby * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Lester Hudson | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter