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2012-02-11

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 89.4% 10.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.0% 47.0% - โœ—
Margin 46.8% 53.2% +0.7 โœ“ (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.0% 82.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.2% 81.8% - โœ“

Actual: Syracuse Orange +18 (85-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Lamb * 40 6-15 2-10 4-4 3 0 3 0 2 18 7 -
Ryan Boatright * 38 4-7 4-6 2-3 5 5 0 0 3 14 14 -
Shabazz Napier * 36 4-6 2-2 1-3 1 7 1 0 1 11 13 -
Andre Drummond * 28 5-13 0-0 3-7 7 1 0 2 3 13 7 -
Alex Oriakhi * 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
Tyler Olander 26 2-4 0-0 3-4 3 3 0 1 1 7 9 -
Roscoe Smith 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
Niels Giffey 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Hoffmann 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nick Resavy 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matt Lyde-Cajuste 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matt Tomaszewski 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kris Joseph * 35 4-11 3-4 4-6 1 3 1 1 1 15 9 -
Scoop Jardine * 30 8-9 4-4 1-2 2 6 1 0 1 21 20 -
Fab Melo * 22 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 3 2 8 6 -
Brandon Triche * 17 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 5 -1 -
Rakeem Christmas * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C.J. Fair 38 6-8 0-0 2-3 12 3 1 1 0 14 23 -
Dion Waiters 30 7-10 1-2 3-4 4 4 2 0 2 18 16 -
B. Keita 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
James Southerland 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Michael Carter-Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brandon Reese 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 3 -

* = starter