Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -3 (94-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delonte West * | 44 | 10-17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 37 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 3-16 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -6 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Hickson * | 40 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 40 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 36 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 27 | 6-17 | 0-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 19 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jonny Flynn * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter