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2012-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 27.7% 72.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 โœ“ (23.1 off)
Pythagorean 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 9.0% 91.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“

Actual: Columbia Lions +26 (86-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Sullivan * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 17 22 -
Stephen Albrecht * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 2 7 -
J. Harris * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 14 16 -
Andrew McCarthy * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 1 7 -
Tyler Ponticelli * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 0 4 -
Tellef Lundevall 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 12 20 -
Jon Schmidt 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 7 -
Dockery Walker 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 10 14 -
Josh Biber 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Barbour * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 9 1 0 0 16 28 -
Meiko Lyles * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 17 25 -
John Daniels * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 0 1 0 11 -
Alex Rosenberg * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 7 14 -
Mark Cisco * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 10 15 -
Chris Crockett 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 18 20 -
Van Green 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 5 7 -
Cory Osetkowski 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Blaise Staab 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
Dean Kowalski 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 2 -
Noah Springwater 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Steve Egee 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Matt Johnson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Samer Ozeir 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter