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2012-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% +7.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Margin 14.9% 85.1% +9.6 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 21.9% 78.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +13 (103-90). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Augustin * 39 6-14 1-3 3-3 2 11 0 0 3 16 12 -
Bismack Biyombo * 36 4-6 0-0 4-6 8 1 1 3 2 12 17 -
Gerald Henderson * 35 9-14 0-1 3-3 5 1 2 0 1 21 14 -
Byron Mullens * 26 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 1 0 0 6 -
Kemba Walker * 24 9-13 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 20 10 -
Derrick Brown * 21 2-6 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
DJ White * 21 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Corey Maggette * 15 1-7 0-0 2-2 1 0 2 0 3 4 -3 -
Tyrus Thomas * 11 3-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
Matt Carroll * 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lester Hudson * 36 9-18 2-7 5-5 8 6 1 1 4 25 19 -
Antawn Jamison * 28 7-19 1-2 2-4 3 4 0 0 1 17 4 -
Donald Sloan * 28 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 5 2 0 1 4 8 -
Alonzo Gee * 26 5-9 1-1 2-2 6 2 2 1 2 13 13 -
Anthony Parker * 26 7-11 4-6 1-1 2 1 2 0 0 19 13 -
Tristan Thompson * 22 3-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 6 7 -
Omri Casspi * 21 5-8 2-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 12 11 -
Luke Walton * 19 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 3 7 -
Semih Erden * 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 2 7 -
Samardo Samuels * 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Manny Harris * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter