Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.5% | 11.5% | -14.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.5% | 4.5% | -16.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -11 (66-77). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Kuhlman * | 35 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Nik Cochran * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| De'Mon Brooks * | 27 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 8-13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Jake Cohen * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Tom Droney * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chris Czerapowicz | 27 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Clint Mann | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Kalinoski | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Frank Ben-Eze | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Will Reigel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Groselle * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Lawrence Miller * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Bo Holston * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Player #56888 * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Marshall Harris III * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| DeVontae Wright | 24 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ashton Moore | 23 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Bray | 16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Cosmo Morabbi | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Horgan | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter