Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✗ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -2 (102-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 37 | 11-20 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 22 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| David West * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Paul George * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| George Hill * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Lee * | 43 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 39 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 28 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 13 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter