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2012-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 73.6% 26.4% -7.9 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 67.7% 32.3% - โœ“
Margin 68.6% 31.4% -4.3 โœ“ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 73.6% 26.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.3% 16.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.4% 16.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“

Actual: Idaho State Bengals -13 (54-67). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chehales Tapscott 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 16 1 1 2 2 15 33 -
Lateef McMullan 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 5 8 -
Charles Odum 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 18 20 -
Michael Harthun 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Gary Winston 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Nate Lozeau 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 10 12 -
Renado Parker 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 11 14 -
Martin Whitmore 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Abner Moreira 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 2 1 1 11 24 -
Andre Hatchett 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 5 12 -
Melvin Morgan 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 6 18 20 -
Sherrod Baldwin 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 5 6 -
K. McGowen 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 13 14 -
Nick Mason 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 2 7 -
Dejan Kostur 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter