Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +13 (84-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 39 | 6-13 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| B. Paul * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Leonard * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| J. Bertrand * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Henry | 20 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Maniscalco | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Egwu | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Griffey | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Shaw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Djimde | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Oladipo * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Hulls * | 33 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Cody Zeller * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Christian Watford * | 31 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Derek Elston * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Will Sheehey | 23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Matt Roth | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tom Pritchard | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Remy Abell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Moore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter