Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +13 (84-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 39 | 6-13 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| B. Paul * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Leonard * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| J. Bertrand * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Henry | 20 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Maniscalco | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Egwu | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Griffey | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Shaw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Djimde | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Oladipo * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 15 | - |
| J. Hulls * | 33 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| C. Zeller * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 22 | - |
| C. Watford * | 31 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| D. Elston * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Sheehey | 23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Roth | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Pritchard | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Abell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Moore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter