Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +4.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +19 (83-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron White * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Matt Gatens * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| D. Marble * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Bryce Cartwright * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Zach McCabe * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Josh Oglesby | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Eric May | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andrew Brommer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Darius Stokes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Branden Stubbs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gabriel Olaseni | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steven McCarty | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Sobolewski * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 32 | - |
| John Shurna * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Nick Fruendt | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Montgomery III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Omar Jimenez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter