Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +2 (54-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Martin * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Robert Smith * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Kevin Bradshaw * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 21 | - |
| B.J. Shearry * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kareem Nitoto * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Austin Quick | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Elliott Berry | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T.J. Burke | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Daymond Cowlah | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | - |
| David Hanson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Will Taylor * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Amaurys Fermin * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Drake U'u | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Will Donahue | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Maliik Love | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter