Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +2 (54-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Martin * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 24 | - |
| R. Smith * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 17 | - |
| K. Bradshaw * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 21 | - |
| B.J. Shearry * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| K. Nitoto * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Quick | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Berry | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Burke | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Cowlah | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Eversley * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | - |
| D. Hanson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| W. Taylor * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 21 | - |
| D. Royer * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| A. Fermin * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Johnson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| D. U'u | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| W. Donahue | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Odister | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Love | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter