Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +17 (74-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Townsel * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Brandon Peterson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Rakeem Dickerson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Malcoln Kirkland * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Hooten * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Trey Finn | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Darion Griswold | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Johnny Zuppardo | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Adam Sterrenberg | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bryce Clark | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kinley Ogbonnaya-Branch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rubit * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| M. Ammons * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 35 | - |
| F. Goldstein * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Lundy * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. Jones | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| W. Wright | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| T. Anderson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Carter | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Diaz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Hersey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter