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2012-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Jacksonville State Gamecocks Morehead State Eagles Spread Result
Elo 26.0% 74.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% - โœ—
Margin 35.2% 64.8% +3.4 โœ— (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 42.4% 57.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.1% 56.9% - โœ—

Actual: Morehead State Eagles -14 (55-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Williams * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 12 15 -
Tarvin Gaines * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 1 0 15 27 -
Ronnie Boggs * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 2 8 13 -
Nick Cook * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 12 13 -
Grant White * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
Darion Rackley 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 20 22 -
Rinaldo Mafra 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Mason Leggett 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Proffitt * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 11 15 -
Lamont Austin * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 3 3 -
Drew Kelly * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 0 2 14 21 -
Milton Chavis * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 6 6 -
Angelo Warner * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
Kahlil Owens 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 10 -
Deandre Mathieu 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 7 9 -
Marsell Holden 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
Player #57239 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 8 -
Devon Atkinson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Jordan Percell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter