Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Jeffers * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Karl Madison * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Aaron Hawley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Rayvonte Rice * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Clarke * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Kraidon Woods | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Judd Welfringer | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kurt Alexander | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| David Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 31 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 35 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Nic Moore * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Bryant Allen | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Johnny Hill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter