Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +7 (67-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pitts * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 30 | - |
| S. Johnson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| D. Kane * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 12 | - |
| D. Tinnon * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| R. Goff * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| N. Spikes | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| D. Pena | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Y. Mbao | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Hanner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Jordan * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Keith Clanton * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 31 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | - |
| A.J. Rompza * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Josh Crittle * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter