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2012-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Nebraska Cornhuskers Spread Result
Elo 26.9% 73.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 58.9% 41.1% - โœ“
Margin 70.7% 29.3% -4.8 โœ“ (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 75.0% 25.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.0% 10.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.1% 9.9% - โœ“

Actual: Nebraska Cornhuskers -16 (46-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stu Douglass * 35 4-7 3-5 2-2 2 3 2 0 0 13 13 -
Trey Burke * 34 4-7 3-4 1-2 5 5 0 0 2 12 13 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 32 3-11 0-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 6 1 -
Zack Novak * 32 6-9 2-4 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 14 12 -
Jordan Morgan * 31 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 8 12 -
Evan Smotrycz 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Matt Vogrich 11 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 7 -
Blake McLimans 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Corey Person 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Colton Christian 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Josh Bartelstein 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bo Spencer * 32 4-12 1-6 4-5 2 1 1 0 3 13 2 -
Brandon Ubel * 31 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 1 6 9 -
Brandon Richardson * 29 3-5 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 1 7 3 -
Caleb Walker * 24 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
Toney McCray * 23 2-9 0-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 4 2 -
Dylan Talley 25 3-4 3-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 9 6 -
Mike Fox 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Corey Hilliard 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Christopher Niemann 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Josiah Moore 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
David Rivers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter