Model Predictions
| Model | Wagner Seahawks | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.0% | 9.0% | -12.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers -15 (44-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Rivers * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| T. Murray * | 29 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| K. Ortiz * | 27 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Williams * | 22 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| N. Folahan * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Martin | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Thompson | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| O. Parker | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Burton | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Moody | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Norfleet * | 38 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Kelvin Parker * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kristijan Krajina * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Danny Thompson * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Josh Castellanos * | 19 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -8 | - |
| Chad Holley | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Raven Barber | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jacolby Wells | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Xavier Owens | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter