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2012-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers South Florida Bulls Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.3% 64.7% - โœ“
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 โœ“ (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“

Actual: South Florida Bulls +12 (63-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ashton Gibbs * 33 2-9 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 4 -7 -
Lamar Patterson * 31 2-6 1-2 2-3 1 1 2 1 3 7 3 -
Travon Woodall * 30 4-13 1-6 2-3 5 2 2 0 4 11 3 -
Nasir Robinson * 28 4-8 0-0 0-1 5 2 0 0 2 8 5 -
Talib Zanna * 25 2-3 0-0 4-4 5 1 3 0 0 8 14 -
J.J. Moore 19 3-6 1-4 2-4 3 1 0 0 0 9 7 -
John Johnson 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 0 -
Dante Taylor 12 0-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 1 1 -
Cameron Wright 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

South Florida Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hugh Robertson * 35 7-7 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 18 14 -
Ron Anderson * 30 2-4 0-0 2-7 6 2 0 0 1 6 9 -
Augustus Gilchrist * 28 5-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 3 10 7 -
Victor Rudd * 27 1-4 0-1 2-2 5 1 2 1 4 4 5 -
Anthony Collins * 27 2-5 0-0 7-8 4 6 2 0 5 11 13 -
Toarlyn Fitzpatrick 21 2-4 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 5 6 -
Jawanza Poland 19 3-6 1-4 0-1 2 1 1 0 2 7 3 -
Blake Nash 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter