Model Predictions
| Model | Hartford Hawks | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.9% | 34.1% | -3.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Torres | 34 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Nate Sikma | 30 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Clayton Brothers | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Yolonzo Moore | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Mark Nwakamma | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Genesis Maciel | 17 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Wes Cole | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Corban Wroe | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Oren Faulk | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Baker | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Charles White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Plummer | 38 | 11-14 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Brian Neller | 35 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Player #56944 | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Ryan Cook | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Chandler Thomas | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Player #56945 | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jake Wasco | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Quentin Jones | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamar Wertz | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Will Wise | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter