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2012-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 20.0% 80.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% -
Log Adjusted 9.6% 90.4% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +20 (78-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Beal * 36 5-15 1-7 3-4 6 3 1 0 0 14 9 -
P. Young * 29 5-10 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 2 2 12 7 -
K. Boynton * 29 6-12 4-8 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 18 7 -
E. Walker * 26 0-7 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 -4 -
E. Murphy * 22 3-11 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 -1 -
W. Yeguete 23 2-3 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 0 1 4 8 -
M. Rosario 19 1-4 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 3 -2 -
S. Wilbekin 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kidd-Gilchrist * 39 4-8 0-0 5-5 13 3 0 0 1 13 20 -
M. Teague * 36 4-6 2-3 2-2 3 10 1 0 5 12 15 -
A. Davis * 36 8-13 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 4 1 16 15 -
D. Lamb * 31 6-8 4-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 18 13 -
T. Jones * 19 2-7 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 4 4 -
D. Miller 24 3-7 1-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 9 5 -
K. Wiltjer 11 2-5 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 6 3 -
E. Vargas 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter