Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Burke | 0 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| I. Crawford | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Moore | 0 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| K. Penn | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. McCully | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moses | 0 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 10-10 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| K. Houser | 0 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| C. Jones | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Ostarello | 0 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 20 | - |
| B. Rayburn | 0 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
* = starter